Interest rates and political uncertainty hinder SME investment, Bibby Financial Services finds

New findings from Bibby Financial Services (BFS) show that current interest rates and the approaching general election are leading many SMEs to postpone significant investments that could drive long-term economic growth.

According to BFS’s Q1 2024 SME Confidence Tracker, which surveyed 1,000 UK SMEs, 53% are waiting for interest rates to drop, and 43% are holding off until after the general election to make substantial investments.

Despite these delays, the research uncovers a sense of optimism for Q2, with 61% of SMEs forecasting an uptick in sales over the next six months—a 7% year-on-year increase from Q1 2023.

Derek Ryan, UK managing director of BFS, notes the resurgence of confidence but warns of the investment chill: “Interest rates remaining at record levels…and a forthcoming general election, are causing an investment freeze…more needs to be done to stimulate much needed investment in the short-term.”

The research also sheds light on the tough credit environment, with over half of SMEs finding it harder to secure finance now compared to six months ago, and 61% experiencing a reduction in credit availability.

Adding to these difficulties, the SME sector faces cashflow challenges exacerbated by delayed customer payments. Two-thirds report longer invoice settlement times than a year ago, and 30% have suffered bad debt from non-payment.

As the next general election approaches, 71% of SMEs consider economic growth and job creation as a critical issue. A strong majority, 65%, emphasise the need for the winning party to support long-term business growth.

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